Great Recession Of 2025. The probability of a recession happening by the end of 2025 remains unchanged at 45%. Goldman sachs analysts have raised their estimated odds for a u.s.
The third was december’s cut of 25 basis points, where federal officials hinted at fewer interest rate cuts in. In the baseline scenario (50%), moderate growth is expected, with gdp slowing from 2.4% in 2025 to 1.7% in 2026, but no recession.
